August 29, 2010
Please be in prayer as Hurricane Earl takes aim at the North-East corner of the Caribbean. Please pass on this prayer request today and tomorrow (August 29-30, 2010). The latest information I have is:
Earl continues to move quickly through the eastern Atlantic. As of 2:00 p.m., EDT on Sunday, Earl was centered near 17.4 north and 58.9 west, or about 190 miles east of the Antigua. Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph. Earl is moving to the west-northwest at 15 mph.
Hurricane warnings have been issued for St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, Saba and St. Eustatius. Hurricane watches are now in effect for St. Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius, the British and U.S. Virgin islands and Puerto Rico. Tropical storm warnings are in affect for the British Virgin Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
Earl is tracking over very warm water and the environment ahead of the system does not contain any substantial pockets of dry air. Some northerly wind shear, induced by the outflow of Danielle well to the north is decreasing and the outflow is beginning to expand in the northern quadrant of the storm. As Danielle races northeast later Sunday, Earl will be able to ventilate more to its north. Computer forecasts still show Earl becoming a major hurricane by Tuesday and being in a position to possibly threaten the East Coast of the United States later this week. However, the long term track of Earl will be highly dependent on the location of the upper-level wind flow over North America and the Atlantic in the early to middle parts of next week, as well as Earl's speed. As long as Earl continues to move quickly, it will have the potential to outrun a southward dip in the jet stream that will develop in the upper flow near the East Coast later this week. That, or the dip in the upper wind being even slower to develop, would allow the storm to get far enough west to directly impact the East Coast. So residents of and those with interests along the East Coast of the United States as well as the Bahamas, should keep a close watch on Earl's progress.
Of more immediate concern, those in the northern Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico should now rush storm preparations to completion. Conditions will deteriorate in the northern Leeward Islands later this afternoon with swells of 12-18 feet later tonight. The system will come within 50 miles of the northernmost Leeward Islands, bringing hurricane-force winds tonight into Monday. Heavy rainfall will inundate the northern Leeward Islands. Earl is expected to produce an average of 3-5 inches of rain with isolated amounts of 12 inches possible over the higher elevations of Puerto Rico.
Bishop Gerald A Seale, DD,
Secretary General and CEO,
Evangelical Association of the Caribbean,
41 Excel Road, Elizabeth Park, Christ Church BB15092, Barbados.
Tel: 1-246-427-9746; Iternet Phone: 954-482-8442
Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
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